YoungNoaha

0x88686b...ff0ffa

Smart Score

Win Rate

73.3%

Total P&L

+$1

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-1.47

Sortino Ratio

-1.15

Max Drawdown

591.5%

ROI

2.2%

Profit Factor

14.14

Kelly Fraction

0.681

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

022.2/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	BUY	94.4¢	2.119	Mar 5
Will "Vladimir" be the top global Netflix show this week?	BUY	97.3¢	2.055	Mar 5
Will Jeff Bezos be 2nd richest person on March 31?	BUY	97.8¢	2.045	Mar 5
Will Germany strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	95.2¢	3.151	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on February 22?	BUY	99.9¢	5.005	Feb 23
Will Intuit (INTU) beat quarterly earnings?	BUY	90.0¢	1.111	Feb 23
US x Iran meeting by March 31, 2026?	BUY	91.0¢	2.198	Feb 23
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?	BUY	95.3¢	4.197	Feb 22
Bitcoin Up or Down on February 22?	BUY	99.8¢	5.01	Feb 22
Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the February decision?	BUY	92.0¢	3.261	Feb 22
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?	BUY	92.0¢	3.261	Feb 22
Will Trump meet with Friedrich Merz in January 2026?	BUY	99.5¢	1.005	Jan 30
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?	BUY	94.0¢	1.277	Jan 30
US strikes Iran by January 30, 2026?	BUY	95.9¢	2.19	Jan 30
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?	BUY	99.1¢	1.715	Jan 30

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing22.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.22

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)20.2%

Win Consistency60.0%

Profit Factor0.58

Drawdown Resilience0.47

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.47

Weekly Sharpe est.0.36

Trading Activity15 trades · 4 active days

P&L Calendar

$380d profit4d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue