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yourFavoriteMarket

yourFavoriteMarket

0x1ada2a...68e40e
Smart Score
16
Win Rate
41.9%
Total P&L
+$11
Trade Count
216
Sharpe Ratio
0.29
Sortino Ratio
0.95
Max Drawdown
352.4%
ROI
2.5%
Profit Factor
1.23
Kelly Fraction
0.078
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
015.7/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
US forces enter Iran by March 14?BUY76.0¢1.316Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?BUY84.1¢1.189Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 5:15PM-5:20PM ETBUY55.0¢1.818Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?BUY12.0¢8.333Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?BUY11.0¢9.091Mar 3
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02?BUY36.0¢2.778Mar 2
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?SELL35.0¢3.22Mar 2
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?SELL49.0¢2.77Mar 2
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March?SELL63.0¢1.66Mar 2
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02?BUY71.0¢1.408Mar 2
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?SELL18.0¢7.4Mar 2
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?SELL8.7¢12.19Mar 2
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March?BUY60.0¢1.667Mar 2
Bank of England rate hike in 2026?BUY15.0¢6.667Mar 2
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?BUY8.2¢12.195Mar 1
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY13.5¢7.407Mar 1
Will France strike Iran by March 31?SELL30.0¢5.49Mar 1
Will France strike Iran by March 31?BUY18.2¢5.495Mar 1
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?SELL95.4¢10Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?SELL93.7¢4.16Feb 28

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%24%< 10%23%10–20%6%20–30%10%30–50%19%50–70%6%70–80%9%80–90%4%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing15.7

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.86
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)14.3%
Win Consistency33.1%
Profit Factor0.41
Drawdown Resilience0.33
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.33
Weekly Sharpe est.0.25
Trading Activity216 trades · 28 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$569d profit19d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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