Yvam11

0x2d3729...9e7311

Smart Score

Win Rate

19.2%

Total P&L

+$294

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

0.15

Sortino Ratio

1.21

Max Drawdown

449.5%

ROI

22.1%

Profit Factor

2.72

Kelly Fraction

0.121

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

019.5/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Iran strike nine or more countries in March?	BUY	1.5¢	196.286	Mar 5
Will Iran strike eight countries in March?	SELL	7.8¢	114.44	Mar 5
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	SELL	18.0¢	33.33	Mar 5
Will Iran strike eight countries in March?	BUY	8.7¢	114.444	Mar 2
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?	SELL	17.0¢	184.13	Mar 2
Will Iran strike nine or more countries in March?	BUY	63.1¢	190.214	Mar 1
Will Iran strike nine or more countries in March?	SELL	58.9¢	206.34	Mar 1
Will Iran strike nine or more countries in March?	BUY	63.0¢	206.349	Mar 1
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?	BUY	18.8¢	79.787	Mar 1
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	BUY	30.0¢	33.333	Feb 28
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	SELL	22.7¢	78.21	Feb 28
Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?	BUY	16.0¢	75	Feb 28
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?	BUY	11.5¢	104.348	Feb 28
Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?	SELL	99.6¢	155.03	Feb 28
Will the US next strike Iran on March 2, 2026 (ET)?	BUY	3.0¢	300.608	Feb 26
Will the US next strike Iran on March 1, 2026 (ET)?	BUY	4.6¢	193.855	Feb 26
Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?	BUY	5.8¢	155.04	Feb 26
US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?	BUY	8.0¢	37.5	Feb 21
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	BUY	12.8¢	78.215	Feb 19
Maduro in U.S. custody by January 31?	BUY	0.3¢	1,000	Jan 3

Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing19.5

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.07

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)17.8%

Win Consistency30.2%

Profit Factor0.51

Drawdown Resilience0.41

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.41

Weekly Sharpe est.0.31

Trading Activity46 trades · 22 active days

P&L Calendar

$1206d profit16d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue