z111-748

0x8951df...046cee@zhao_p42510

Smart Score

Win Rate

67.9%

Total P&L

+$449

Trade Count

104

Sharpe Ratio

0.40

Sortino Ratio

0.59

Max Drawdown

12.9%

ROI

1.9%

Profit Factor

3.42

Kelly Fraction

0.481

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

061/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Anthropic be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?	BUY	35.0¢	50	Mar 5
Will Anthropic be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?	BUY	34.0¢	28	Mar 5
Will Claude by Anthropic be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 6?	BUY	87.0¢	5	Mar 5
Will Claude by Anthropic be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 6?	BUY	87.5¢	216.58	Mar 5
Will Claude by Anthropic be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 6?	BUY	87.1¢	83.42	Mar 5
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	BUY	83.0¢	300	Mar 5
Will Anthropic be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?	BUY	31.0¢	19.31	Mar 5
Will Claude by Anthropic be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 6?	BUY	87.0¢	16.66	Mar 5
Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?	BUY	78.0¢	2.65	Mar 2
Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?	BUY	78.0¢	95.04	Mar 2
Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?	BUY	78.0¢	4.545	Mar 2
Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?	BUY	78.0¢	6.14	Mar 2
Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?	BUY	78.0¢	1.29	Mar 2
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	SELL	0.1¢	1,776.95	Mar 2
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	BUY	4.1¢	911.79	Feb 28
GPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026?	SELL	98.9¢	51.76	Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	BUY	2.8¢	220	Feb 28
Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?	SELL	23.0¢	16	Feb 28
Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?	SELL	2.3¢	100	Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	BUY	3.1¢	645.161	Feb 28

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Active61

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)3.35

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)55.5%

Win Consistency74.6%

Profit Factor1.59

Drawdown Resilience1.28

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.28

Weekly Sharpe est.0.98

Trading Activity82 trades · 20 active days

P&L Calendar

$8,7822d profit18d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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