zalaper

0x86ee04...56f149@ZPersaza

Smart Score

Win Rate

88.5%

Total P&L

+$133

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-0.18

Sortino Ratio

-0.16

Max Drawdown

198.2%

ROI

0.9%

Profit Factor

3.49

Kelly Fraction

0.631

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

028.6/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?	BUY	96.6¢	195	Mar 5
Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?	BUY	96.6¢	5	Mar 5
Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?	BUY	96.6¢	30	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on March 4?	BUY	98.0¢	6.5	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on March 4?	BUY	98.0¢	193.5	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on March 3?	BUY	99.3¢	221.954	Mar 3
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase February 24-March 2?	BUY	99.6¢	220.402	Mar 1
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?	BUY	99.9¢	219.519	Feb 28
Fabric FDV above $700M one day after launch?	BUY	99.5¢	219.292	Feb 27
Flying Tulip FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	BUY	97.4¢	218.234	Feb 23
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 February 16-22?	BUY	99.6¢	212.56	Feb 22
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on February 20?	BUY	99.9¢	211.682	Feb 20
Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 February 9-15?	BUY	99.6¢	211.469	Feb 15
Espresso FDV above $100M one day after launch?	BUY	99.5¢	210.583	Feb 12
Superform FDV above $300M one day after launch?	BUY	99.6¢	209.428	Feb 10
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on February 9?	BUY	99.9¢	208.588	Feb 8
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on February 8?	BUY	99.9¢	208.378	Feb 7
Tria FDV above $500M one day after launch?	BUY	99.4¢	208.169	Feb 3
Moonbirds FDV above $100M one day after launch?	BUY	99.0¢	206.919	Jan 29
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 January 19-25?	BUY	99.9¢	204.854	Jan 24

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing28.6

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.57

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)26.0%

Win Consistency48.7%

Profit Factor0.74

Drawdown Resilience0.60

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.60

Weekly Sharpe est.0.46

Trading Activity60 trades · 51 active days

P&L Calendar

$11,5743d profit48d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue