zephyrTide4

0x8c89b4...0dd3d6
Smart Score
17
Win Rate
87.5%
Total P&L
-$9
Trade Count
94
Sharpe Ratio
-0.33
Sortino Ratio
-0.24
Max Drawdown
33.1%
ROI
-0.0%
Profit Factor
0.04
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
Smart Score
017.1/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL99.8¢59.52Mar 5
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY99.8¢59.52Mar 4
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?SELL99.8¢59.52Mar 1
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?BUY99.8¢59.52Feb 28
Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL99.1¢59.83Feb 24
Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY99.2¢59.83Feb 6
Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL99.2¢58Feb 6
Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY99.5¢58Jan 2
Will Emmanuel Macron be the first leader out in 2025?BUY99.5¢58Oct 15
Will the Seahawks win the NFC Championship?SELL98.5¢0.32Dec 21
Will the Seahawks win the NFC Championship?BUY98.9¢0.324Dec 21
Will De’Andre Hunter win 2024-25 NBA 6th Man of the Year?SELL90.0¢0.81Dec 21
Will De’Andre Hunter win 2024-25 NBA 6th Man of the Year?BUY91.0¢0.813Dec 21
Will John Cornyn be the next Senate Majority Leader?SELL99.7¢0.38Dec 21
Will John Cornyn be the next Senate Majority Leader?BUY99.9¢0.38Dec 21
Will Trump say "rig" or "rigged" during his inauguration speech?SELL87.0¢0.17Dec 9
Will Trump say "rig" or "rigged" during his inauguration speech?BUY89.0¢0.18Dec 9
Will $GOAT be listed first on Binance?SELL95.8¢0.86Dec 9
Will $GOAT be listed first on Binance?BUY96.6¢0.87Dec 9
Will Slovan Bratislava win the UEFA Champions League?SELL99.7¢0.74Dec 9
Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%12%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%50–70%70–80%80–90%86%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing17.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.94
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)15.6%
Win Consistency49.0%
Profit Factor0.44
Drawdown Resilience0.36
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.36
Weekly Sharpe est.0.27
Trading Activity9 trades · 8 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$583d profit4d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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