zhang1244

0x5538dc...a96c08

Smart Score

Win Rate

96.4%

Total P&L

-$97

Trade Count

273

Sharpe Ratio

0.11

Sortino Ratio

0.28

Max Drawdown

5889.0%

ROI

-0.2%

Profit Factor

0.56

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

013.9/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
GPT-5.3 released by March 8, 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	111.011	Mar 5
Will US or Israel strike Iran first?	BUY	49.8¢	22	Mar 4
Will Hillary say "President" 5+ times during her Epstein testimony?	BUY	98.8¢	13	Mar 4
Will the US next strike Iran on February 26, 2026 (ET)?	BUY	99.9¢	72.87	Mar 3
Will the US next strike Iran on February 26, 2026 (ET)?	BUY	99.9¢	34.13	Mar 3
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	SELL	99.9¢	107.6	Mar 3
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	BUY	99.9¢	107.607	Mar 2
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	SELL	0.1¢	50	Mar 2
Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?	SELL	99.4¢	107	Mar 2
Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?	BUY	99.4¢	6.72	Mar 1
Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?	BUY	99.4¢	72.28	Mar 1
Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?	BUY	99.4¢	28	Mar 1
Will Trump meet with Pope Leo XIV in February 2026?	BUY	99.6¢	12.52	Feb 28
Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?	BUY	96.4¢	13.029	Feb 28
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?	BUY	98.9¢	13	Feb 26
Will Khamenei leave Iran by February 28, 2026?	BUY	99.7¢	13	Feb 26
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	BUY	98.8¢	50	Feb 26
Will NVIDIA dip to $128 in February?	BUY	99.9¢	11.5	Feb 26
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?	BUY	99.3¢	12.47	Feb 26
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?	BUY	98.6¢	12.9	Feb 26

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing13.9

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.76

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)12.7%

Win Consistency56.9%

Profit Factor0.36

Drawdown Resilience0.29

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.29

Weekly Sharpe est.0.22

Trading Activity273 trades · 77 active days

P&L Calendar

$12,23320d profit51d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue