ZHENGai

0x8a68cd...68eff0

Smart Score

Win Rate

79.5%

Total P&L

-$4

Trade Count

112

Sharpe Ratio

-2.79

Sortino Ratio

-2.31

Max Drawdown

7694.6%

ROI

-0.6%

Profit Factor

2.50

Kelly Fraction

0.478

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

019.4/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will OpenAI have the #2 AI model at the end of March 2026?	SELL	83.8¢	11.73	Mar 5
Will "The Bride!" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 14m and 16m?	BUY	93.0¢	14.39	Mar 5
Will OpenAI have the #2 AI model at the end of March 2026?	BUY	93.0¢	1.24	Mar 5
Will Hezbollah disarm by March 31?	BUY	91.0¢	8.78	Mar 5
Will OpenAI have the #2 AI model at the end of March 2026?	BUY	93.0¢	10.49	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	BUY	94.5¢	8.33	Mar 5
Will Delroy Lindo win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?	BUY	95.4¢	12.01	Mar 4
US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?	BUY	91.0¢	8.78	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	85.4¢	5	Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 5?	SELL	80.9¢	8.51	Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 5?	BUY	94.0¢	8.51	Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 5?	BUY	89.9¢	8.51	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?	BUY	91.1¢	8.69	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	BUY	91.1¢	8.69	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	90.9¢	8.69	Mar 4
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	BUY	42.0¢	2	Feb 28
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on March 1?	SELL	20.6¢	50	Feb 28
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on March 1?	BUY	23.2¢	50	Feb 28
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on February 28?	SELL	80.6¢	5	Feb 28
US x Cuba military clash in 2026?	SELL	23.0¢	50	Feb 28

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing19.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.07

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)17.6%

Win Consistency51.0%

Profit Factor0.50

Drawdown Resilience0.41

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.41

Weekly Sharpe est.0.31

Trading Activity112 trades · 9 active days

P&L Calendar

$1772d profit7d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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