Zhumei

0x395984...732365@AlexaCline33942

Smart Score

Win Rate

87.8%

Total P&L

+$44

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-0.06

Sortino Ratio

-0.07

Max Drawdown

35.2%

ROI

1.0%

Profit Factor

3.99

Kelly Fraction

0.658

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

057/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 6, 2026?	BUY	3.6¢	27.778	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	140.14	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?	BUY	95.7¢	140.996	Mar 3
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?	BUY	98.8¢	131.579	Feb 27
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	130.13	Feb 15
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February?	BUY	99.7¢	3.009	Feb 15
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	133.133	Feb 10
Will the ECB announce an increase at the February 2026 meeting?	BUY	99.9¢	133.183	Feb 3
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from January 31 to February 2, 2026?	BUY	99.8¢	133.046	Jan 31
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?	BUY	98.9¢	131.719	Jan 28
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?	BUY	93.6¢	1.068	Jan 21
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	130.13	Jan 21
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 13, 2026?	BUY	98.9¢	1.011	Jan 13
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 12, 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	130.13	Jan 13
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	130.13	Jan 9
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	130.13	Jan 5
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	129.699	Dec 30
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?	BUY	97.0¢	128.884	Dec 28
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?	BUY	98.9¢	124.439	Dec 20
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2025?	BUY	97.0¢	1.031	Dec 17

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Active57

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)3.13

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)51.9%

Win Consistency62.2%

Profit Factor1.48

Drawdown Resilience1.20

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.20

Weekly Sharpe est.0.91

Trading Activity60 trades · 39 active days

P&L Calendar

$4,1810d profit39d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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