zuimengren

0x1106a4...7e496a@ooxx146510

Smart Score

Win Rate

76.1%

Total P&L

-$9

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-0.33

Sortino Ratio

-0.31

Max Drawdown

756.8%

ROI

-1.2%

Profit Factor

0.83

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

07.4/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?	BUY	82.0¢	3.659	Mar 5
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 by December 31, 2026?	BUY	95.0¢	5.789	Mar 5
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?	SELL	70.0¢	8.77	Feb 4
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 by December 31, 2026?	SELL	90.0¢	6.07	Feb 3
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?	BUY	57.0¢	8.772	Feb 2
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 by December 31, 2026?	BUY	84.0¢	6.071	Feb 2
Sentient FDV above $400M one day after launch?	BUY	94.4¢	5.508	Jan 9
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?	BUY	92.3¢	5.417	Dec 22
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?	BUY	96.3¢	3.427	Nov 12
Will Google have the best AI model on October 31?	BUY	94.0¢	10.638	Oct 5
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?	BUY	69.5¢	17.266	Aug 29
Will Ethereum hit $4,400 by December 31?	BUY	94.0¢	11.702	Aug 10
Will Elon tweet 105–119 times July 4–11?	BUY	97.0¢	5.464	Jul 9
Will Ethereum dip to $1800 in June?	BUY	93.9¢	5.964	Jun 18
Will Solana dip to $140 in May?	BUY	95.3¢	10.913	May 30
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $98000 on May 16?	BUY	95.4¢	2.83	May 14
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2100 and $2300 on May 16?	BUY	96.6¢	2.702	May 14
Will Elon tweet 275–299 times May 2–9?	BUY	96.1¢	2.404	May 9
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $99000 and $101000 on May 9?	BUY	92.0¢	2.5	May 9
Will Elon tweet 400 or more times April 25–May 2?	BUY	99.0¢	3.636	Apr 28

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing7.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.41

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)6.7%

Win Consistency42.6%

Profit Factor0.19

Drawdown Resilience0.16

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.16

Weekly Sharpe est.0.12

Trading Activity24 trades · 16 active days

P&L Calendar

$991d profit15d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue