Zzdl

0x750ca5...9c2fe3

Smart Score

Win Rate

66.0%

Total P&L

-$2.9K

Trade Count

3,423

Sharpe Ratio

0.87

Sortino Ratio

3.51

Max Drawdown

218.0%

ROI

-1.5%

Profit Factor

0.89

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

023.1/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	SELL	36.0¢	18.92	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	SELL	63.0¢	0.44	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	SELL	63.0¢	11.5	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	SELL	61.0¢	21.23	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	BUY	34.0¢	4.08	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	BUY	34.0¢	2.16	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	SELL	63.0¢	27.34	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	BUY	35.0¢	120.59	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	BUY	35.0¢	0.35	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	BUY	35.0¢	0.7	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	BUY	35.0¢	0.71	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	BUY	35.0¢	2.79	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	BUY	33.0¢	6.83	Mar 5
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	SELL	69.3¢	2.61	Mar 5
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	SELL	69.3¢	2.3	Mar 5
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	SELL	69.3¢	4.11	Mar 5
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	SELL	69.3¢	7.98	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	BUY	52.0¢	5.06	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	BUY	52.0¢	1.24	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	BUY	49.0¢	14.51	Mar 5

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing23.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.27

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)21.0%

Win Consistency59.1%

Profit Factor0.60

Drawdown Resilience0.49

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.49

Weekly Sharpe est.0.37

Trading Activity3,423 trades · 26 active days

P&L Calendar

$77,1861d profit25d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue