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0x4fcaf1...a66466

Smart Score

Win Rate

72.8%

Total P&L

-$289

Trade Count

326

Sharpe Ratio

-0.12

Sortino Ratio

-0.14

Max Drawdown

329.1%

ROI

-1.8%

Profit Factor

0.79

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

012.6/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	BUY	82.0¢	100	Mar 5
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	BUY	62.0¢	100	Mar 5
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	BUY	4.8¢	25	Mar 5
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	BUY	4.7¢	74.99	Mar 5
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	SELL	95.4¢	15	Mar 5
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	SELL	93.0¢	10	Jan 25
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	SELL	53.0¢	17.85	Jan 25
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	BUY	54.0¢	100	Jan 25
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	BUY	52.0¢	100	Jan 20
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?	BUY	74.0¢	10	Jan 20
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	BUY	52.0¢	20	Jan 20
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	SELL	86.0¢	15	Jan 8
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 9?	BUY	98.4¢	50.2	Jan 7
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	BUY	79.0¢	10	Jan 5
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	BUY	83.0¢	15	Jan 5
Will Vladimir Padrino López be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	BUY	2.5¢	40	Jan 5
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	BUY	28.0¢	17.857	Jan 4
Will Jorge Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	BUY	3.6¢	138.889	Jan 4
Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	BUY	3.8¢	132.828	Jan 4
Will UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?	SELL	51.9¢	30	Oct 27

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing12.6

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.69

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)11.5%

Win Consistency67.6%

Profit Factor0.33

Drawdown Resilience0.26

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.26

Weekly Sharpe est.0.20

Trading Activity83 trades · 29 active days

P&L Calendar

$1,66110d profit19d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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