Federal Reserve Economics Markets
100 active markets
resolved
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
$235.1M vol
0.0%
resolved
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
$216.5M vol
0.0%
resolved
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
$173.0M vol
0.0%
resolved
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
$161.6M vol
0.0%
resolved
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after November 2024 meeting?
$134.0M vol
0.0%
resolved
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
$133.2M vol
0.0%
resolved
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?
$127.7M vol
0.0%
resolved
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
$106.8M vol
100.0%
resolved
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
$102.2M vol
0.0%
resolved
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
$101.2M vol
0.0%
resolved
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
$87.1M vol
0.0%
resolved
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?
$67.4M vol
0.0%
resolved
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
$67.0M vol
0.0%
resolved
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
$59.9M vol
100.0%
resolved
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2025 meeting?
$57.0M vol
0.0%
resolved
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
$54.6M vol
100.0%
resolved
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
$52.6M vol
0.0%
resolved
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
$51.6M vol
100.0%
resolved
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
$49.9M vol
0.0%
resolved
Fed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after January 2025 meeting?
$48.8M vol
0.0%
resolved
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?
$46.1M vol
0.0%
resolved
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
$44.5M vol
0.0%
resolved
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after July 2025 meeting?
$43.5M vol
0.0%
resolved
Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after January 2025 meeting?
$42.8M vol
0.0%
resolved
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?
$40.9M vol
0.0%
resolved
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?
$38.7M vol
0.0%
resolved
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?
$36.3M vol
100.0%
resolved
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?
$36.1M vol
0.0%
resolved
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?
$35.6M vol
0.0%
resolved
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting?
$29.6M vol
0.0%
resolved
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?
$29.2M vol
0.0%
resolved
No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?
$28.7M vol
100.0%
resolved
No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?
$28.1M vol
100.0%
resolved
Will Trump nominate Jerome Powell as the next Fed chair?
$27.9M vol
0.0%
resolved
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after June 2025 meeting?
$26.9M vol
0.0%
resolved
Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?
$26.0M vol
0.0%
resolved
Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?
$24.7M vol
0.0%
resolved
Will Trump nominate Bill Pulte as the next Fed chair?
$24.5M vol
0.0%
resolved
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after May 2025 meeting?
$24.0M vol
0.0%
resolved
Will Trump nominate himself as the next Fed chair?
$23.6M vol
0.0%
resolved
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?
$23.6M vol
0.0%
resolved
No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 September meeting?
$23.5M vol
0.0%
resolved
Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?
$22.8M vol
0.0%
resolved
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?
$22.3M vol
0.0%
resolved
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after March 2025 meeting?
$22.2M vol
0.0%
resolved
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after May 2025 meeting?
$22.1M vol
0.0%
resolved
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting?
$21.7M vol
0.0%
resolved
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after March 2025 meeting?
$21.5M vol
0.0%
resolved
Will Trump nominate Janet Yellen as the next Fed chair?
$21.3M vol
0.0%
resolved
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2025 meeting?
$21.2M vol
0.0%
resolved
Will Trump nominate Arthur Laffer as the next Fed chair?
$21.2M vol
0.0%
resolved
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2025 meeting?
$21.0M vol
100.0%
resolved
Will Trump nominate Barron Trump as the next Fed chair?
$20.9M vol
0.0%
resolved
No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?
$20.6M vol
100.0%
resolved
Fed rate cut by September 18?
$20.3M vol
100.0%
resolved
Will Fed cut interest rates 6+ times in 2024?
$20.2M vol
0.0%
resolved
Will the FED change rates to another level after Nov meeting?
$19.2M vol
0.0%
resolved
Will Trump nominate David Zervos as the next Fed chair?
$17.9M vol
0.0%
resolved
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2024 meeting?
$17.6M vol
0.0%
resolved
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2025 meeting?
$17.2M vol
0.0%
resolved
No change in Fed interest rates after March 2025 meeting?
$17.2M vol
100.0%
resolved
Fed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after November 2024 meeting?
$15.0M vol
0.0%
resolved
Fed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after December 2024 meeting?
$13.3M vol
0.0%
resolved
Will Trump nominate Ron Paul as the next Fed chair?
$12.7M vol
0.0%
resolved
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?
$11.8M vol
0.0%
resolved
Will the FED change rates to another level after December meeting?
$11.2M vol
0.0%
resolved
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting?
$10.9M vol
100.0%
resolved
Will Trump nominate Philip Jefferson as the next Fed chair?
$10.8M vol
0.0%
resolved
Will Trump nominate Larry Kudlow as the next Fed chair?
$10.4M vol
0.0%
resolved
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2024 meeting?
$10.2M vol
0.0%
resolved
Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after December 2024 meeting?
$9.2M vol
0.0%
active
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
$9.2M vol
0.4%
resolved
Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after November 2024 meeting?
$8.4M vol
0.0%
resolved
Will Fed cut interest rates 3 times in 2024?
$8.3M vol
0.0%
resolved
No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 November meeting?
$8.0M vol
0.0%
active
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
$7.8M vol
2.5%
resolved
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2024 meeting?
$7.5M vol
100.0%
resolved
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2024 meeting?
$7.4M vol
0.0%
resolved
Will Fed cut interest rates 4 times in 2024?
$6.8M vol
100.0%
active
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?
$6.8M vol
1.1%
resolved
Will Fed cut interest rates 5 times in 2024?
$6.7M vol
0.0%
resolved
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting?
$6.7M vol
0.0%
active
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?
$6.6M vol
1.8%
resolved
Will Trump nominate David Malpass as the next Fed chair?
$6.3M vol
0.0%
resolved
Will Fed end QT before May?
$6.3M vol
100.0%
active
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
$6.1M vol
95.9%
resolved
Will Trump nominate Larry Lindsey as the next Fed chair?
$6.1M vol
0.0%
resolved
Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
$6.0M vol
0.0%
resolved
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2024 meeting?
$5.0M vol
100.0%
resolved
Will Trump nominate Marc Sumerlin as the next Fed chair?
$4.3M vol
0.0%
resolved
Will Fed cut interest rates 2 times in 2024?
$4.0M vol
0.0%
resolved
Will 8+ Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
$4.0M vol
0.0%
resolved
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
$3.7M vol
0.0%
resolved
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
$3.6M vol
100.0%
resolved
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?
$3.3M vol
100.0%
resolved
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
$3.3M vol
0.0%
resolved
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
$3.1M vol
0.0%
resolved
Will Trump nominate Howard Lutnick as the next Fed chair?
$3.0M vol
0.0%
resolved
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2025?
$2.9M vol
0.0%
resolved
Will Trump nominate Lorie K. Logan as the next Fed chair?
$2.9M vol
0.0%